The internal transfer posting closed Friday. Deadline to express interest was end of day and I let it pass. The role was a senior program manager slot in the platform infrastructure group — same band, different org, more visibility, more risk. I sat with it for about two weeks and kept coming back to the same problem: the hiring manager is new, the team is mid-reorg, and the mandate is still being written. Those three things together is a combination I've been burned by before.
What I'm giving up is about a 15–20% bump in profile, maybe an easier path to a director conversation in 18 months if the team stabilizes. What I'm keeping is a team I trust, a stakeholder map I understand, and a backlog that's roughly in control. The opportunity cost is real. I'm not pretending otherwise.
The case for passing wasn't confidence — it was risk tolerance given current cash flow. We're sitting on about four months of household expenses liquid right now. The mortgage renewal is in February. Taking a lateral into a chaotic org when the runway isn't longer felt like stacking bets. I notice I feel slightly relieved, which might mean it was the right call or might mean I'm rationalizing comfort. Hard to separate those cleanly at 10pm.